GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guarulhos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting Paulinense are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Guarulhos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarulhos hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Paulista Série B, while Guarulhos holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guarulhos

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

13.2%

Guarulhos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting PaulinenseLLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
GuarulhosWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting PaulinenseGuarulhos
31.0Attack63.3
54.8Defence50.0
50.0Form53.3
47.4Power54.6
0.98xG1.60
View match centre →