Sporting Lieştivs
Dinamo Bucuresti
COMPLETEDRomania · Cupa României · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Bucuresti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Lieşti 1-4 Dinamo Bucuresti
Original prediction
Dinamo Bucuresti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.05 | 6.5% | 38.8% | 32.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.82 | 11.6% | 20.2% | 8.6 pts |
| Away | 1.11 | 81.9% | 41.0% | -40.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Bucuresti
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Dinamo Bucuresti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 17 · avg 2.80/3.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60