Sporting Lagosvs
Ikorodu City
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ikorodu City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Lagos 0-0 Ikorodu City
Original prediction
Ikorodu City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.1% | 33.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 28.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.9% | 37.4% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Ikorodu City
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Ikorodu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00