Sporting KC IIvs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting KC II 1-2 St. Louis City II
Original prediction
St. Louis City II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.92 | 23.1% | 17.5% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 17.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.5% | 64.7% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City II
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60