Sporting KC IIvs
Real Monarchs
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 3/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Monarchs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Sporting KC II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Monarchs hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Real Monarchs holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Monarchs
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Real Monarchs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60