GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sporting KC II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while North Texas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Texas hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Texas

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting KC IILLDLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
North TexasLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting KC IINorth Texas
43.9Attack52.4
16.7Defence47.6
28.8Form42.9
32.5Power47.9
1.45xG2.55
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