GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Sporting KC II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Minnesota United II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United II hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Minnesota United II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United II

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

9.4%

Minnesota United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting KC IIDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Minnesota United IILLWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
42.9Attack45.5
15.9Defence47.0
28.6Form42.4
31.9Power46.8
1.44xG2.23
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