Sporting KC IIvs
Los Angeles FC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting KC II 1-5 Los Angeles FC II
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.2% | 24.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 22.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.8% | 53.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC II
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Los Angeles FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40