GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/2/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Sporting KC II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Austin II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austin II

Probability

85.4%

Model confidence

85.4%

Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting KC IILW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Austin IIW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Sporting KC IIAustin II
43.9Attack71.2
16.7Defence71.2
28.8Form75.8
32.5Power73.0
0.75xG3.75
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