GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/12/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

79.3%

Model confidence

79.3%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose EarthquakesWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting Kansas CitySan Jose Earthquakes
31.6Attack66.7
15.8Defence52.6
24.6Form57.9
27.5Power58.9
0.89xG3.33
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