GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Diego are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

9.3%

San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
San DiegoWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Kansas CitySan Diego
33.3Attack59.3
14.8Defence46.3
25.9Form38.9
28.1Power47.8
1.10xG2.85
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