Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Sunday, 24 May 2026Last updated 10:14
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

Home
L
12
Full time
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
New York Red Bulls(48%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: New York Red Bulls
Win probability
Sporting Kansas City
29%
Draw
23%
New York Red Bulls
48%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sporting Kansas City
73
New York Red Bulls
73
Defence
Sporting Kansas City
6
New York Red Bulls
66
Momentum
Sporting Kansas City
0
New York Red Bulls
100
Danger (xG)
Sporting Kansas City
0.98
New York Red Bulls
0.88
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Sporting Kansas City)
0.98
avg per match
xG for (New York Red Bulls)
0.88
avg per match
xG against (Sporting Kansas City)
2.51
avg per match
xG against (New York Red Bulls)
1.69
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
LLWWD
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
WDW

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Sporting Kansas City29%
Draw23%
New York Red Bulls48%

New York Red Bulls leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sporting Kansas City head into this in Major League Soccer fixture in mixed form (L), while New York Red Bulls arrive in mixed form (W). Sporting Kansas City have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for New York Red Bulls over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Sporting Kansas City (73/100) and New York Red Bulls (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Sporting Kansas City have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. New York Red Bulls have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Sporting Kansas City have generated 1.17 xG per game recently while conceding 1.35 xG per match. New York Red Bulls have generated 0.88 xG per game recently while conceding 1.69 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

New York Red Bulls have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects New York Red Bulls to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Sporting Kansas City 2850%, Draw 2330%, New York Red Bulls 4820%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Sporting Kansas City 0Draws 01 New York Red Bulls
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
24 May 2026
Sporting Kansas City
L12
New York Red Bulls
xG 1.70.9

Recent form

Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

L
@ St. Louis City
17 Jul 2026
23
xG 1.0
L
vs New York Red Bulls
24 May 2026
12
xG 1.7
W
@ Austin
17 May 2026
21
W
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
14 May 2026
31
D
vs Houston Dynamo
19 Oct 2025
00
xG 0.8
New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls

W
@ Sporting Kansas City
24 May 2026
21
xG 0.9
D
vs New York City FC
17 May 2026
11
W
vs Columbus Crew
14 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?

GoalVio's model predicts New York Red Bulls to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more