GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/7/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Kansas City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Kansas City hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting Kansas City holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Kansas City

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

9.7%

Sporting Kansas City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityLLWDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Minnesota United FCLDLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
80.0Attack28.6
40.0Defence42.9
53.3Form33.3
58.9Power38.3
2.60xG1.09
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