Sporting Kansas City leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Sporting Kansas City head into this in Major League Soccer fixture in mixed form (L), while Minnesota United FC arrive in mixed form (LLD). Sporting Kansas City have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Minnesota United FC over 3 games.

The model rates Sporting Kansas City's attack at 73/100 against a 39/100 Minnesota United FC defence, and Minnesota United FC's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Sporting Kansas City backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Sporting Kansas City have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Minnesota United FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Sporting Kansas City have generated 1.17 xG per game recently while conceding 1.35 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Sporting Kansas City and Minnesota United FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sporting Kansas City to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Sporting Kansas City 3964%, Draw 2400%, Minnesota United FC 3636%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Sporting Kansas City

L

@ St. Louis City

17 Jul 2026

2–3

xG 1.0

L

vs New York Red Bulls

24 May 2026

1–2

xG 1.7

W

@ Austin

17 May 2026

2–1

W

vs Los Angeles Galaxy

14 May 2026

3–1

D

vs Houston Dynamo

19 Oct 2025

0–0

xG 0.8

Minnesota United FC

L

@ New England Revolution

17 May 2026

1–2

L

vs Colorado Rapids

14 May 2026

0–1

D

vs Austin

11 May 2026

2–2

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