Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Los Angeles FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FC
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.59 | 20.5% | 22.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 22.7% | 24.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 56.8% | 53.4% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80