GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/1/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Columbus CrewLLWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting Kansas CityColumbus Crew
31.6Attack48.1
15.8Defence48.1
24.6Form37.0
27.5Power46.3
1.01xG2.31
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