Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00