Sporting JAX Wvs
Tampa Bay Sun W
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Super League · 8/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting JAX W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting JAX W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tampa Bay Sun W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and sporting JAX W hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the USL Super League, favouring Sporting JAX W with 14.4% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting JAX W
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
14.4%
Sporting JAX W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00