Sporting JAX Wvs
Lexington W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting JAX W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting JAX W 0-1 Lexington W
Original prediction
Sporting JAX W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.6% | 43.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.4% | 27.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.1% | 28.9% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting JAX W
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Sporting JAX W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80