Sporting JAX Wvs
Fort Lauderdale United W
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Super League · 10/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting JAX W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting JAX W 4-1 Fort Lauderdale United W
Original prediction
Sporting JAX W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.4% | 62.3% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.7% | 21.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 7.63 | 11.9% | 15.8% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Sporting JAX W
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Sporting JAX W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60