GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting JAX W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sporting JAX W 2-0 Dallas Trinity W

Original prediction

Sporting JAX W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5857.2%52.2%-5.1 pts
Draw3.7823.9%25.1%1.2 pts
Away4.8018.8%22.7%3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Sporting JAX W

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Sporting JAX W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAX WWWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dallas Trinity WLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting JAX WDallas Trinity W
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form16.7
83.3Power31.3
1.93xG0.94
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