GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting JAX W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting JAX W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dallas Trinity W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting JAX W hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the USL Super League, while Sporting JAX W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting JAX W

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

13.6%

Sporting JAX W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAX WDLLWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dallas Trinity WLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting JAX WDallas Trinity W
62.1Attack49.4
62.1Defence63.2
60.9Form49.4
62.1Power54.1
1.50xG1.00
View match centre →