GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/27/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Antonio are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAXDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San AntonioWWDDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting JAXSan Antonio
38.3Attack43.3
13.3Defence60.0
13.3Form53.3
25.1Power54.6
0.90xG2.03
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