Sporting JAXvs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting JAX 0-3 Rhode Island
Original prediction
Rhode Island
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.80 | 19.0% | 17.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.7% | 20.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.3% | 62.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00