GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hartford Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartford Athletic hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the USL Championship, while Hartford Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hartford Athletic

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Hartford Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAXLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Hartford AthleticLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting JAXHartford Athletic
40.4Attack24.1
10.5Defence68.5
14.0Form38.9
25.1Power45.8
0.77xG1.19
View match centre →