GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting JAX · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting JAX are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Brooklyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Brooklyn hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the USL Championship, while Sporting JAX holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting JAX

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

12.2%

Sporting JAX has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAXDDWLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BrooklynLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting JAXBrooklyn
40.4Attack33.3
10.5Defence37.3
14.0Form25.5
25.1Power34.0
1.58xG1.47
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