Sporting JAXvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting JAX 0-1 Birmingham Legion
Original prediction
Birmingham Legion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.4% | 28.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 24.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20