Sporting Hasseltvs
KAA Gent II
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Hasselt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Hasselt 0-2 KAA Gent II
Original prediction
Sporting Hasselt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.6% | 49.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 24.0% | 26.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.4% | 24.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Hasselt
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Sporting Hasselt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60