Sporting Hasseltvs
Cercle Brugge
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Hasselt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Hasselt 1-2 Cercle Brugge
Original prediction
Sporting Hasselt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.12 | 22.2% | 39.8% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 54.2% | 34.8% | -19.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Hasselt
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Sporting Hasselt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00