Sporting Hasseltvs
Beerschot VA
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beerschot VA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Hasselt 0-1 Beerschot VA
Original prediction
Beerschot VA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 28.5% | 25.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.6% | 25.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.0% | 49.3% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Beerschot VA
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Beerschot VA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00