Sporting Gijonvs
Girona
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/5/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Gijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting Gijon 0-0 Girona, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Gijon 0-2 Girona
Original prediction
Sporting Gijon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 32.7% | 37.6% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.8% | 30.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 38.5% | 32.0% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Sporting Gijon 0–0 Girona
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Gijon
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Sporting Gijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60