Sporting Gijonvs
Eldense
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Gijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting Gijon 0-0 Eldense, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Gijon 0-1 Eldense
Original prediction
Sporting Gijon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 54.9% | 43.7% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.3% | 30.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.8% | 26.0% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Projected Score
Sporting Gijon 0–0 Eldense
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Gijon
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Sporting Gijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40