Sporting Gijonvs
Albacete
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Gijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sporting Gijon 1-0 Albacete, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete
Original prediction
Sporting Gijon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.0% | 65.2% | 17.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.0% | 21.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 25.0% | 13.0% | -12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.2 pts
Projected Score
Sporting Gijon 1–0 Albacete
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Gijon
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
Sporting Gijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60