Sporting Gijón IIvs
Langreo
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Gijón II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Gijón II 1-1 Langreo
Original prediction
Sporting Gijón II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.5% | 44.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.2% | 28.5% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Gijón II
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Sporting Gijón II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00