GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal W · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Projected score: Sporting Cristal W 4-0 UNSAAC W, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Sporting Cristal W 3-0 UNSAAC W

Original prediction

Sporting Cristal W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.0980.9%63.3%-17.6 pts
Draw7.2512.2%19.5%7.3 pts
Away12.717.0%17.3%10.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.6 pts

Projected Score

Sporting Cristal W 4–0 UNSAAC W

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal W

Probability

63.3%

Model confidence

63.3%

Sporting Cristal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Cristal WWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
UNSAAC WLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Cristal WUNSAAC W
100.0Attack22.9
62.1Defence22.9
66.7Form14.6
71.5Power23.6
4.50xG0.58
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