GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 5/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Mediumconfidence

Sporting Cristal W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Killas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal W hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (70.8 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Liga Women, while Sporting Cristal W holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal W

Probability

90.0%

Model confidence

12.4%

Sporting Cristal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Cristal WLWLWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Killas WDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Cristal WKillas W
100.0Attack38.1
59.6Defence16.7
66.7Form19.0
70.8Power26.2
4.50xG0.78
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