GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 6/20/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Sporting Cristal W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal W hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (70.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Liga Women, while Sporting Cristal W holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal W

Probability

77.0%

Model confidence

8.6%

Sporting Cristal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Cristal WLWWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FBC Melgar WDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Cristal WFBC Melgar W
100.0Attack66.7
59.6Defence38.1
66.7Form47.6
70.8Power47.9
4.10xG1.46
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