Sporting Cristal Wvs
Alianza Lima W
COMPLETEDPeru · Liga Women · 9/20/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Cristal W 0-2 Alianza Lima W
Original prediction
Alianza Lima W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.1% | 33.0% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.6% | 27.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 49.3% | 39.9% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima W
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Alianza Lima W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40