Sporting Cristalvs
UTC Cajamarca
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UTC Cajamarca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
11.9%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60