GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universitario are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universitario

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalDWLDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CristalUniversitario
52.4Attack46.0
47.6Defence68.3
41.3Form57.1
48.6Power58.7
1.03xG1.36
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