Sporting Cristalvs
Universitario
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universitario are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Primera División, while Universitario holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitario
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Universitario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80