Sporting Cristalvs
Sport Huancayo
COMPLETEDPeru · Copa De La Liga · 8/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Cristal 4-1 Sport Huancayo
Original prediction
Sporting Cristal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.6% | 41.4% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.4% | 27.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.53 | 20.1% | 31.5% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40