CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL Sudamericana
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

Home
W
00
Full time
RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino

Away
D
Estadio Nacional de Lima
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Sporting Cristal(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
44%
Draw
29%
RB Bragantino
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sporting Cristal
34
RB Bragantino
34
Defence
Sporting Cristal
91
RB Bragantino
66
Momentum
Sporting Cristal
100
RB Bragantino
33
Danger (xG)
Sporting Cristal
0.00
RB Bragantino
0.89
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sporting Cristal)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (RB Bragantino)
0.89
avg per match
xG against (Sporting Cristal)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (RB Bragantino)
1.56
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
WL
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
DL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Sporting Cristal44%
Draw29%
RB Bragantino27%

Sporting Cristal leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sporting Cristal head into this in CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture at Estadio Nacional de Lima in mixed form (W), while RB Bragantino arrive in mixed form (D). Sporting Cristal have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for RB Bragantino over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Sporting Cristal (91/100) and RB Bragantino (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Sporting Cristal have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. RB Bragantino have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Sporting Cristal have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. RB Bragantino have generated 0.89 xG per game recently while conceding 1.56 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Sporting Cristal and RB Bragantino in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sporting Cristal to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Sporting Cristal 4420%, Draw 2917%, RB Bragantino 2662%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

W
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
17 Jul 2026
10
xG 0.0
L
@ FC Cajamarca
15 May 2026
13
RB Bragantino

RB Bragantino

D
@ Fluminense
18 Jul 2026
11
xG 0.9
L
@ Mirassol
14 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs RB Bragantino?

GoalVio's model predicts Sporting Cristal to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs RB Bragantino?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Sporting Cristal vs RB Bragantino?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sporting Cristal vs RB Bragantino?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more