Sporting CristalvsNacional Asuncion

Sporting Cristal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nacional Asuncion are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Asuncion hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (25.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Nacional Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.