GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/17/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FBC Melgar

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
FBC MelgarLLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Sporting CristalFBC Melgar
52.4Attack57.1
47.6Defence58.7
41.3Form55.6
48.6Power57.8
1.35xG1.69
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