Sporting Cristalvs
FBC Melgar
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Primera División, while FBC Melgar holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20