GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerro Porteno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cerro Porteno are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerro Porteno hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (25.4 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Cerro Porteno holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerro Porteno

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalLLWLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Cerro PortenoWWDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CristalCerro Porteno
33.3Attack33.3
11.1Defence85.7
22.2Form66.7
25.4Power64.6
0.66xG1.40
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