GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 2/5/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Lima

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Alianza LimaLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Sporting CristalAlianza Lima
52.4Attack60.3
47.6Defence79.4
41.3Form76.2
48.6Power71.9
0.81xG1.86
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