Sporting Cristalvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 2/5/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Sporting Cristal are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00