Sporting Cristalvs
ADT
COMPLETEDPeru · Copa De La Liga · 10/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Cristal 5-0 ADT
Original prediction
Sporting Cristal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.8% | 50.9% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 20.9% | 25.8% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.60 | 16.2% | 23.3% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00