GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while ADT are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ADTWDWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CristalADT
52.4Attack38.1
47.6Defence57.1
41.3Form33.3
48.6Power44.4
1.46xG1.08
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