Sporting CP Wvs
Torreense W
COMPLETEDPortugal · 1a Divisão - Women · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting CP W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP W 3-2 Torreense W
Original prediction
Sporting CP W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 12:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.3% | 36.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.3% | 28.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 33.4% | 34.4% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sporting CP W
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Sporting CP W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40