Sporting CP Wvs
Brøndby W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brøndby W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting CP W 2-2 Brøndby W
Original prediction
Brøndby W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.2% | 33.8% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.2% | 26.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.6% | 39.7% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Brøndby W
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Brøndby W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 20 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/0.20